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A step-by-step framework for constructing a long-term portfolio using simple ETFs, a sensible cash buffer, and risk levels that adapt as you move through different stages of your life.
Fresh trading, investing, and market research from TradeDeskDaily.

Bitcoin Sell-Off 2025: Why Crypto Is Crashing and What’s Really Driving the Move The current Bitcoin sell-off isn’t just a random crypto tantrum. It’s a full-scale unwind driven by slowing global growth, elevated real yields, leverage washouts, whale and institutional distribution, and a sharp turn in risk sentiment. In other words: this is what happens…

TradeDeskDaily Update This post breaks down the AI capex supercycle that is reshaping markets right now: Big Tech’s $88B debt war chest, the biotech washout, the squeeze in AI infrastructure names, and what today’s flows are really signaling under the surface. On the surface it looked like chaos: Big Tech tapping the bond market for…

Nvidia Earnings Analysis This Nvidia earnings analysis explains why NVDA delivered one of the strongest mega-cap earnings prints in history and still reversed from a +4% open to finish red after reporting. The answer: positioning, macro, and options flows overwhelmed fundamentals. Let’s break down what really happened. Nvidia Earnings Q3 FY2026: The Numbers Were Straight-Up…

This NFP report analysis breaks down today’s jobs numbers, the unemployment uptick, market volatility, and what this means for the Federal Reserve heading into the December meeting. United States Non Farm Payroll Historical Chart – Koyfin.com Report Analysis: Breakdown of Today’s Job Numbers On the surface, the September jobs report looked better than feared. After…

Tomorrow’s September 2025 U.S. employment report finally drops at 8:30 a.m. ET on Thursday, November 20th, six weeks late thanks to the 43-day government shutdown. That delay has turned a normally high-impact data point into the key macro event ahead of the December 9–10 FOMC meeting. This NFP report preview breaks down what traders need to know ahead of tomorrow’s delayed nonfarm…

Trump’s 50-year Mortgage The Trump 50-year mortgage proposal is quickly becoming one of the most controversial housing ideas in years — and for good reason. While the plan promises lower monthly payments for millions of Americans, the long-term financial math reveals a very different story. And when you break down the amortization schedule, compare interest costs, and…
Fed rate cut odds for December 2025 have collapsed from 90% to 50%. Here’s what Powell’s comments, inflation data, labor market trends, and CME FedWatch Tool probabilities mean for traders ahead of the Fed’s final meeting of the year.
Market Breadth Study – $MA200SP500 Signal Performance Market breadth is one of the most overlooked but powerful tools for understanding the health of the S&P 500. One of the most reliable indicators I track is $MA200SP500, which measures the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average. Extreme readings are rare — and when…

Table of Contents What Is a Long-Term Portfolio? A strong long-term portfolio is the engine behind real wealth creation. While trading gets attention, long-term investing, consistent asset allocation, and disciplined contributions are what drive financial independence. This guide breaks down a simple, proven framework for building a long-term portfolio using stocks, ETFs such as SPY and QQQ,…